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The Best Traders Alive

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Forex Traders Chart

While it is true that investors trade to make money, a trade, strictly in technical terms, does not necessarily have to be an investment in anything.  Let’s consider the best traders alive. Do you know why? The answer to this question lies in the explanation of value investing given by Benjamin Graham, who is known to be the father of all value investment and movements. According to Benjamin Graham, an investment should always guarantee one thing, and that is the “safety of principal and a lucrative return”. In light of this information, the difference between a ‘trader’ and an ‘investor’ becomes significantly clear.

An investor takes their time to put in their money, and is in the habit of making informed and diligent decisions after a thorough evaluation of a particular set of business fundamentals of a specific company or organization. A trader, on the other hand, applies the use of careful evaluation and technical analysis to focus on the core aspects of the trading market, and then bets on which of them have the potential to provide a hefty profit with limited market volatility.

Exactly fourteen years ago, it was very common for people to terminate their employment, get the cash out of their 401k plan and start down the line of trading, and that too from the ease of their homes. Fuelled by a large and volatile stock market with real estate bubbles, it was easy to throw away investments, but it was easy to make money as well. However, things have changed over the past couple of years. The recession that crippled the economy in 2007, for example, also resulted in the consistent proliferation of financial regulations.

Moreover, who can ignore the significant advancements in technology which allow trading to be carried out by powerful software and sophisticated algorithms. Did you know that today, 50% to 70% of all trading is done through complex algorithms every given day?

Losing money in today’s financial markets is routine and there are many traders and investors who lose massive amounts of money in the span of a single trading day. On top of this, these traders hope their gains will fill in for the losses they have experienced. And in order to gain more money, traders have to incur substantial expenses to pay for rising transaction and trading costs, and to pay for keeping up with traders who use state of the art trading software and platforms.

With all of this being said, there is still a selective number of traders who possess the diligence, the grit, the boldness, and the heart to go against the odds and make money along the way. Here are a few of those people:

Paul Tudor Jones (1954-Present)

Paul Tudor Jones is the founder of the Tudor Investment Corporation, which consists of a $12 billion hedge fund. Tudor is famous for short selling his stocks in the 1987 stock market crash which ended up making him $100 million. He did this by predicting a massive multiplier effect on the portfolio insurance on the bear market.

Portfolio insurance is a risk management instrument popularly used by traders around the world. Investors and traders use portfolio insurance to reduce the investment risks which could threaten their portfolio. Jones’ brilliant analytical insight led to this prediction which in turn helped him become a very rich trader in 1987. He has an estimated net worth of $3.6 billion and still heads his own hedge fund.

George Soros (1930-Present)

Soros is by far the most popular trader of all time. In fact, he is known as “The Man Who Broke the Bank of England”. George Soros made a well calculated bet in 1992 that the British pound would deflate in value. The British pound at that time was on an ERM – the European Exchange Rate Mechanism – which was introduced to keep the currencies held together in a defined boundary to maximize financial stability. George Soros, along with his partners from the Quantum Investment Fund, found a pattern which led him to believe the pound would become weak and thus would not be able to survive in the ERM.

He then made a short position, borrowed a substantial amount of money from the fund, and made $1 billion.

John Paulson (1955-Present)

John Paulson is renowned for carrying out what is known as the ‘greatest trade ever’. Paulson became a wealthy trader in 2007, when he shorted the real estate market via the collateralized-debt market. He was the founding member of Paulson & Co., which was established in 1994. Although being a brilliant trader, Paulson was not very popular in Wall Street, at least not until the crippling of the economy in 2007.

John Paulson

Successfully forecasting a massive asset bubble in the real estate market, he helped his funds make a massive $15 billion, out which he got a cool $3.7 billion. Paul still manages his companies and is worth an estimated $11 billion.

Come to think of it, all three super traders shared one thing in common: each of their brilliant and high paying ideas was based on leveraged shorts. What does that tell you? It tells you that all traders have clear conflicts of interest, and each trader is motivated to make profits from a fluctuating market.

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Best Bitcoin Trading Platforms

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Bitcoin and criptocurrency

Bitcoin trading can be very enjoyable and lucrative at the same time. So let’s consider the best bitcoin trading platforms. It offers a variety of benefits in comparison to other trading markets. Peer-to-peer markets offer traders low priced trading with the freedom to trade very securely, and on top of that, you will know that the odds are not heavily stacked against you because of the advantages enjoyed by larger financial institutions. It is very difficult for regular retail traders to trade via traditional trading markets and the investments they tend to make or plan can often feel like they are gambling everything away at a casino – and we all know what happens most of the time at casinos: the house wins.

However, when you talk about Bitcoin trading, the tables can be turned to benefit all regular traders. How, you ask? Well, mainly because of the volatility in Bitcoin trading. Although the volatility levels associated with Bitcoin trading are potentially risky, the rewards are considerably bigger than the risks. This is the only reason why most people choose to trade on Bitcoin and many have prospered financially in the Bitcoin market.

So, if you have decided to indulge in Bitcoin trading, and have completely understood the risks you will be taking, then the next phase of business is to learn about the various platforms through which you can trade Bitcoin:

Bitfinex

Bitfinex is one of the very few Bitcoin platforms which allow traders to have complete access to ‘leverage’ using marginal trading, and it also offers you the opportunity to use your funds in order to liquidate other traders with a set amount of interest fee. The Bitfinex trading tool permits traders to efficiently trade using more money than they actually have, which gives you the advantage to collect profits made on your investment, but it also increases your losses if you happen to make a bad call.

For example, if you have invested $100 to take a ‘long’ stance on Bitcoin with 10 times the leverage, and you see that the price of the Bitcoin increased by 5%, then instead of making a $5 profit off your $100, you can actually make $50. Sounds implausible? Well, it really is not, because Bitfinex borrows an additional sum of money from liquidity providers and utilizes it to purchase the Bitcoin. What this does is increase your potential profits, but at a cost, of course.

Kraken

Kraken provided Bitcoin traders with a variety of trading options, all associated with Bitcoin. For example, it offers Litecoin, Dogecoin, Ripples, and various other digital currencies which you can trade with, and make a profit in USD OR Euros. Moreover, with Kraken, you are not limited to trading Bitcoin in limited orders. You can set up or automatically purchase or sell Bitcoins and other digital currencies at a percentage above or below the set market price. Your trades can also be automatically closed at a specific profit range, which you can set either as percentage or as a fixed amount.

Traders can also automatically set trailing close, stop, and a number of other options.

This revolutionary trading platform also has a sliding scale fee system. This means regular Bitcoin traders who do enough trading and make substantial profits to meet their targets will get gradual reductions in their trading costs. With most platforms offering trading fee up of to 0.1%, Kraken offers investors free trading options.

Coinsetter

Coinsetter allows you to trade with specific institutional investors who have the ability to spend substantial amounts of money. This is a feature offered only by Coinsetter, which makes it the first of its kind. Coinsetter offers its traders a deep order book, which means that investors can trade big sums of money without buying or selling above or below the market price. This is done through an amalgamation of the native order book with various exchanges allowing traders complete and quick access to the most popularly traded exchanges.

BTX Trader

BTX Trader specializes in providing traders with a multitude of different and advanced order types, which include stop loss orders and trailing stop orders. However, BTX Trader also has another very beneficial trading feature, one which very few Bitcoin platforms have, and that is its ‘hidden orders’ feature. The hidden orders feature allows a trader to make a limit order on the Bitcoin market which other traders will not be able to detect. This is particularly advantageous in thin market settings or markets which have considerably limited liquidity and volume, such as the Bitcoin market itself. However, you can use this hidden feature to make larger trades which have the power to swing the volatility of the Bitcoin market.

The best part about this feature is the fact that your offer will never be able to influence another trader, because they will not be able to see it.

So, these are some of the more popular Bitcoin trading platforms that you can trade on effectively.

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The Gamification of Online Trading

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Trading and exchange analysis

The consistent rise in the popularity of online trading and investment has been matched by the excitement of the general population displayed in using instant messengers and social media platforms. It is important to realize that both online trading, the gamification of online trading and social media function hand in hand with complete synchronicity. How? Well, the simultaneous and immediate messaging functionality of online platforms and networks allows traders and investors to discuss and exchange relevant and new information with each other right up until the second they initiate a trade.

The internet has been around for a long time now, right? You would be surprised to know that many trading enthusiasts have been using chat rooms and other forms of online messaging to stay in the loop, sharing tips, chewing over which stocks are likely to make them money, and which ones they should stay away from.

On the other hand, online brokers have started to increase their target audiences beyond the traditional day trader setting and have begun reaching into a segment of the population which hasn’t yet been exposed to the share market past the odd bank stock or managed fund investment.

In trying to interact with this huge market, online trading has started to resemble an extension of role playing games. This is due to the nature of online trading as it entails making real life decisions to change something, for example life savings, incurring loss, and increasing wealth.

There are more than half a million Australians who actively use online trading platforms to trade shares and several of those online trading platforms expect the number to increase exponentially in Australia, as well as in the US. According to a recent report by the Common Wealth Bank of Australia (CBA), it was identified that the Australian share market might grow to three million traders.

Gamification & Trading

Mike Hamm, a frequent online trader, has experienced the rise of gamification of online trading over the preceding five years. Hamm is mostly engaged in active online trading and has a trading portfolio of over $100,000. His trading experience and the knowledge that he has gained over the years has also led him to creating his own trading blog named 5000trades.com

According to Hamm, social media networking has played an instrumental role in helping people interact with the stock markets in a more reserved and shallower way. In the past, vital trading tools consisted of exclusive access into the Bloomberg terminal or in the least, subscribed access to different broker reviews and reports.

But things have changed considerably, and now most trading decisions are made online via different articles posted on Facebook and Twitter.

According to the chief executive of Bell Direct, Arnie Selvarajah, steps are being considered for the gradual gamification of the entire world of online trading. However, Arnie has his reservations pertaining to the idea of making it too easy or too game like for traders because there is a potential for clients to lose money.

Stephen Karpin, who is the general manager of equities and margin lending of CommSec, says that bringing together the tools for effective trading and infusing the power of social media to make disparate information viable to daily traders could be very useful. In attempting to harvest all the tools of the ‘trade’ together, many people who have never traded in the share market will also do so actively.

However, there is also a growing need to facilitate part time traders with valid information from the stock market. Good online trade forums should have a reliable method of rating the viability and the quality of good trading information. For example, take Hotcopper, which has a thumb up and thumb down feature, allowing traders to go through good and bad trading information.

Websites have to consistently do well in search engine rankings and have to make it to the top so that more traders could enjoy viewing credible information, basing their trade decision on the news they read.

However, it is important to realize that online trading still functions with the same rules. Trading and investment decisions are still being made based on either signals or noise in the market.

The Bottom Line

The gamification of online trading is a gradual process, but with that being said, it is also important to note that social media networking has laid a powerful foundation for it to commence and spread quickly in the near future.

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The Greatest Traders in History

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Forex Traders Chart

Every day, there are thousands upon thousands of trades and transactions which are conducted between investors all across the globe. However, if you come to think of it, many of those investors will not be remembered for anything.  And in this regard, the legendary trades which have become a memorable part of financial history have to be absolutely amazing indeed.

If you are thinking the guys who made it into the history books simply landed there through making tons of money in the market, then you are wrong. Some of the greatest trades ever made have been made by people who used their intellect, their gut feeling, and cunning and intuition to determine the right moment to strike and to make it big, even when everybody else thought they were simply nuts for making such trades.

Just pause and think for a second. The famous John Paulson shorted the housing market of the US when every trader on Wall Street deemed the market bullish. Jim Chanos kept his Enron shares short even though he knew the stocks were going to shoot up. Now, moves like those require critical analysis, thorough knowledge, and above all, they require grit.

Listed below are some of the greatest traders who have made history, by making some of the greatest trades in the world through their diligence, and their feats still stand unmatched:

Jesse Livermore – The Man Who Shorted the Market Collapse in 1929 and made $100 million 

jesse livermore quote

Jesse Livermore is regarded as the most famous short seller in US stock market history. He began shorting stock purely on gut instinct just before the San Francisco earthquake hit. Although there was no way he could have predicted the earthquake, the trade did make him $250,000, which led to him consistently short selling stocks in the market. Shortly after, in 1907, he went on to make millions when he shorted the market collapse.

However, it wasn’t until 1929 that he made it into the big leagues. It was when he shorted the whole stock market and made a cool $100 million in the process. Imagine that! He is deemed as the pioneer of short sell trading and was the inspiration for the book, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, which is a fictional account of a trader.

Paul Tudor James – The Man who Made $100 million by accurately Predicting Black Monday in 1987 and Shorting the Entire Stock Market

paul tudor jones quote

Utilizing the analysis from technical reports, various evaluations, and the historical information of S&P, Paul Tudor Jones accurately predicted that the market will collapse in 1987, and followed through by short selling his stock in huge quantities. And as he predicted, the Dow dropped by 22%, which made him an estimated $100 million.

Subsequently, PBS made a documentary about Paul Tudor Jones, which was named Trader, and just after its release, Jones went out and bought all the copies so that no one else could see the documentary. He was concerned it could reveal his trading secrets.

Andy Krieger – The Man who shorted the Kiwi in the 1980’s and Ended Up Making $300 million

Back in 1987, when the market crashed on Black Monday, a majority of the investors discarded the US dollar and began to look for other currencies. 32 at the time, Krieger was a currency trader working for Banker’s Trust. He analyzed that the New Zealand dollar, which is also known as the Kiwi, was ridiculously overvalued. Using financial trading instruments which were new at the time, he shorted his position against the Kiwi, which was worth millions of dollars. His short sell order exceeded the entire New Zealand supply at the time.

And just like he had anticipated, the Kiwi fluctuated between a 3 to 5% loss, which made his company $300 million. Krieger himself ended up making $3 million from the trade.

George Soros – The Man who Made $1 billion by Shorting the British Pound

george soros quote

Back in the 1990’s, when the British economy was doing very well, the legendary George Soros proceeded to short the pound, and he borrowed massive amounts to accomplish this harrowing feat. Soros shorted the pound when the currency was traded on a fixed rate of exchange.

After Soros made the bet, the government of Britain realized it could end up losing billions if they consistently and artificially piled up the pound. Soon after, they moved away from the European Rate Mechanism, which resulted in a massive plummet of the pound’s value. This made Soros $1 billion, giving him the status: brilliant billionaire investor.

So, what do you think now? Some of the major traders and investors of today have been inspired by these great men who took trading to an entirely new level.

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The Framework for Predicting Failure in Trading

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Stocks Chart

You might have read or heard someone envisage or forecast that a particular retail organization or a chain of stores is going shut down due to being on the verge of bankruptcy. Can you remember how many times it did not happen the way you heard about it? Well, it might have happened a few times. Maybe you have also predicted that a store will shut down in the near future because of so and so reasons. Most people think like that.

If you take a look over recent years, you will notice there have been plenty of stores that closed down because of the super ecommerce retailer, Amazon. After the juggernaut was formed, the first ones to be crushed under it because of the financial crisis were Borders, Circuit City and Linen’ n Things. And now economic analysts have identified there could be a next wave of victims that could be destroyed by Amazon, namely Barnes & Nobel, Best Buy and RadioShack. Even Wal-Mart is showing signs of decreased store sales in the domestic division.

So, being an investor, what is the first question that pops into your mind? Of course, you will be asking yourself is it a good to differentiate an actual crisis at a brick and mortar retailer from that of a threatening one, but one that can be survivable? If you can distinguish the threat, you can avert a potentially dangerous investment but also make a profit on the consistent drop or a rebound in the company’s primary stocks.

Why Is It So Complicated To Forecast Failure?

The main reason why predicting failure can be overly complicated or calculating when a company will sink under is because bankruptcy is not just an issue of solvency (having more assets than liabilities), and if things were that simple, even a rookie investor would be able to foresee the downfall of a publicly traded company. Because all that would take is to review and evaluate the company’s shareholder equity portion in the balance sheet.

However, this doesn’t mean that solvency is of no importance, because it does matter. The thing to understand here is that solvency is not the leading cause of failure among companies. Let’s look at a textbook example. Consider the downfall of Circuit City which was a former electronics giant. When Circuit City filed for bankruptcy less than 6 years, it was deemed America’s second biggest electronics retailer and vendor. It had 700 superstores in different shopping malls and centres across the US. And on top of that, before it filed for bankruptcy, the ending balance sheet indicated that the company had $3.4 billion in assets in comparison to their liabilities which amounted to $2.3 billion.

This tells you that the company was not just solvency but it had a book value of over $1 billion. So, if solvency is not the problem here then what is? Quite simply, the answer to the question is liquidity. When an organization or company is in its final struggle, the first and most immediate problem it faces is the failure of converting assets into liquid cash, cash that can be used to pay off expenses such as rent and wages, etc.

This problem occurs when creditors begin to give up hope in the company and stop taking the company’s assets as collateral in order to be paid off. So, basically it is the inability to pay creditors what causes the entire problem, leading to the demise of a particular company and this is what exactly happened with Circuit City.

The Framework for Evaluating Liquidity

When liquidity becomes a problem, the traditional move should be towards the analysis of a company’s current assets, like cash, inventory and accounts receivable, and comparing it with its current liabilities, which could be debts and further obligations to be carried out. However, this method, referred to as  the current ratio analysis, can be both effective and misleading because of the fact that it includes assets which cannot be turned into cash, namely accounts receivable and the inventory, at short notice.

Current ratio also ignores cash flow which is the core of liquidity. Moreover there is also a one-sided aspect to liquidity that cannot be recorded in the financial statements. In essence, everything points towards the creditors of a company. Liquidity depends on the company’s creditors. Because of the fact that creditors are not interested in shorthand measures pertaining to the fiscal prosperity of company, like the current ratio, they are more worried about how they can topple competing creditors, thereby getting their repayments before time runs out.

Predicting Failure: The Bottom-Line

The point of what is explained here is to help you realize it is hard to pinpoint the failure of the companies which are on the brink of shutting down. There are immense complications because the analysis entails more elements than just solvency.

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